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24.05.2019 05:21
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lack in 2018 Terrance Smith Jersey , and there’s a solid argument he can do the same this season"On November 30 — just two days before they were to play the Oakland Raiders in California — the Kansas City Chiefs released star running back Kareem Hunt.It happened only hours after TMZ released a video of an incident involving Hunt that took place in the hallway outside his offseason apartment in Cleveland the previous February.Ever since then, the question being posed across the league has been, “What will the Chiefs do to replace Kareem Hunt’s production?”It hasn’t been an unfair question.After fumbling the ball on his first NFL carry, Hunt led the league in rushing during his rookie season, amassing 1,327 yards (at 4.9 yards per carry) and scoring eight touchdowns.He was also dangerous as a receiver out of the backfield, gaining 455 yards on 53 receptions, and scoring another three touchdowns.When Hunt was released with five games remaining in his second season, he was on pace for 1,199 rushing yards (at 4.6 yards per carry) 550 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns.It wasn’t much ofa sophomore slump.But what most people around the league apparently failed to notice was that Chiefs running back Damien Williams played admirably after Hunt’s release.Pro Football Focus noticed.On Friday, the football analytics site published an article about the top five running backs in the red zone during 2018.Williams was ranked fifth behind Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans, Jordan Howard of the Philadelphia Eagles Xavier Williams Jersey , Nyheim Hines from the Indianapolis Colts and Phillip Lindsay of the Denver Broncos.And it wasn’t just in the red zone that Williams played well.While Hunt edged out Williams in his overall offensive grade for the season, there were areas where PFF graded Williams more highly than Hunt.2018 PFF GradesIf you don’t want to take PFF’s word for it, you can look at the projected statistical season I worked out for Hunt and another based on the five games Williams started in 2018 — the last three regular season games and the two playoff games.The two players again compare favorably to each other.2018 Projected StatsHonestly, this may say more about Andy Reid’s long-recognized ability to get the best out of his running backs than it does about these two particular players.You may recall that in 2015 — when Jamaal Charles was lost for the season in Week 5 — fans and analysts were ready to write off the season.The Chiefs had started the season 1-4 with Charles as their primary offensive weapon, but with Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware shouldering the load the rest of the way, the Chiefs finished the season 10-1, made the playoffs and won their first playoff game since 1993.It took Andy Reid a couple of games to figure out the best approach forward after being blindsided by the Hunt affair last November, but he did figure out a way to make Williams effective in his offense — just as he did when he lost Charles in 2015.You can’t argue that Williams is a better running back than Hunt any more that you could argue that West or Ware were better than Charles.But you can argue that Reid knows how to use running backs to the team’s best advantage.There’s no reason to expect Williams can’t continue to shoulder the load in 2019.Week 5 True Power Rankings: Chiefs hold steady after factoring in numbers Week 5 is here, and after figuring in the data from the number-crunchers we’ve been tracking, the Kansas City Chiefs are still in second place overall behind the Los Angeles Rams.But the Jacksonville Jaguars — the team the Chiefs face at Arrowhead on Sunday — are right behind them!Here’s how the crunchers see the NFL this week:Cruncher Power Rankings for Week 5Chiefs AFC West Teams Other AFC TeamsThe Chiefs are still looking good, with an average cruncher ranking of third, which is down one spot from last week.Elo still likes the Chiefs — ranking them first — because the Chiefs are the last remaining undefeated team from last season’s top teams.The Rams — the other undefeated team — started the season from farther back in the pack Jordan Lucas Jersey , so by Elo’s reckoning, that’s only good for third right now.DVOA continues to be impressed with the overall play of the Chiefs so far — especially on offense.PE and SRS both give the Chiefs upticks in their rankings following their four-point victory over the Denver Broncos.Now let’s average the Pundit Power Rankings from Tuesday with the Cruncher Power Rankings we just showed you.True Power Rankings for Week 5Chiefs AFC West Teams Other AFC TeamsAs you can see, the Chiefs are still ranked second in the Week 5 True Power Rankings — tops in the AFC, and well ahead of their division rivals — which serves to confirm what we saw in Tuesday’s pundit power rankings.Elsewhere, the crunchers continue to like the Baltimore Ravens more than the pundits do. They’re holding steady with DVOA, SRS and PE — and with their 3-1 record, they’re catching up in Elo. But although the pundits are taking notice — ranking them seventh on Tuesday — they’re not yet convinced.In the crunchers’ estimation, the Green Bay Packers and the New England Patriots both rise by double digits this week, and the Miami Dolphins and Pittsburgh Steelers take a hard tumble.The pundits, however, didn’t see a big change with the Packers.Otherwise they agreed, giving boosts to the Patriots and downgrading the Dolphins and Steelers.Now let’s look at the grades for the week:Cruncher Grades for Week 5Chiefs AFC West Teams Other AFC TeamsNow that we’re a quarter of the way through the season Damien Williams Jersey , we can give the crunchers a little more credit for what they say.And here we see that the both the Chiefs and Jaguars are facing their toughest test of the season this Sunday.Both teams have faced four average (or below average) opponents thus far: the Chiefs have played the Chargers, Steelers, 49ers and Broncos, while the Jaguars have played the Giants (below average), Patriots, Titans and Jets.The only obvious difference is that the Chiefs have prevailed in all four of their games, while the Jaguars lost to the Titans.Still... it ought to be a barn-burner at Arrowhead on Sunday afternoon!Enjoy the game, and starting on Tuesday, we’ll see how the result from that game — and those from all the Week 5 games — shakes things up.



M.C. Klein

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