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liny195 Offline



Beiträge: 74

04.06.2019 09:05
How much you want to blame run-run-pass for the Seattle Antworten

Seahawks’ stalled drives in the regular season and playoffs is up to you. They were guilty of overusing the sequence.But I’m here to offer another culprit. Using data.We know the Seahawks had good and bad games on offense; games where they looked unstoppable and games where they stopped themselves just fine http://www.theseahawksfanshop.com/Marquise-Blair-Jersey , thank you. So I compiled drive details for the whole season (and the wild-card game, too), to isolate precisely what got most in the way of scoring.This project will take weeks, plural, so look for follow-ups as the offseason zombies its way to the draft and beyond. But I’ve decided to focus on offense because it feels inevitable that Pete Carroll will bring the 2019 defense to a higher plane of performance than we saw in 2018. It’ll be on the offense to keep up; any step forward would possibly allow the Seahawks to win a couple more games while the Rams stew over their karmic last-second Super Bowl loss and figure out how to extricate themselves from the Todd Gurley contract.Anyway, drives and scoring. There were 180 last year; I charted 161 of them, removing kneel-downs, end-of half surrender drives, and any drive ending in a turnover, as those interrupted a possession before its “natural” outcome could be discovered. No sense in trying to guess whether a drive would have resulted in a score, if only the defensive back had dropped the ball or the Seahawk had recovered his own fumble. (Fortunately, the Seahawks hate turnovers like your five-year-old self hated mushrooms, so that wasn’t a lot of lost drives.)I tracked what happened to a drive when a 10- or 15-yard penalty went against Seattle, when Russell Wilson got sacked, and when neither of those unfortunate events unfolded. In certain drives, a sack and a major penalty may have both occurred.There’s two ways I want to break up the data, and two major conclusions I want to share. As always, numbers can elicit more than one valid interpretation. Hey. This isn’t social media. There are multiple right answers and nobody’s an idiot for suggesting the opposite of what you or I conclude.First four games (2-2 record)Overall points per drive: 1.9 PPD with penalty: 0.6PPD with sack: 0.3PPD without either one (no flag, no sack): 2.8Remarks: The Seahawks averaged 2.6 points per drive on the season according to my methodology. You can see, rather evidently, that they did not start the year well in any category. In September, a holding penalty or a sack meant basically zero points were gonna come on that possession. There were a total of two (2) scoring drives that overcame a flag or sack. Both resulted in field goals. As the Seahawks were figuring out how to run their new offense, on the road three times, they made it even harder on themselves more often than was advisable.The offense was hard to watch in Weeks 1-4. They weren’t even that great when they managed to avoid big negative plays. Fortunately, it gets better. Way better.Next four games (2-2 record)Overall points per drive: 2.9PPD with penalty: 1.9PPD with sack: 1.1PPD without either one: 3.8Remarks: Now we’re clicking a little. It helps to play the Rams, Lions L.J. Collier Jersey , Raiders and Chargers. It helps to be at home twice.That 3.8 number is enormous. Ten TD drives in 21 tries. The Seahawks scored touchdowns on 29 percent of drives overall last year, but about half the time in this midseason stretch. Even counting the Nick Vannett non-touchdown in Detroit Week 8, when he caught an apparent scoring pass on fourth down, but had stepped out of the end zone. Third part of the season (3-1 record)Overall points per drive: 3.4PPD with penalty: 5.2PPD with sack: 1.0PPD without either one: 3.8Remarks: The Kansas City Chiefs, whose offense led the NFL in points, yards and coolness, scored 3.1 points per drive on the season. They were nothing compared to the Weeks 9-13 Seattle Seahawks. Nothing. Too bad those teams never met in 2018 — wait.More on that later. Look at that 5.2, though. To collect holding penalties is not a sound scoring strategy. Still, they led to Seattle touchdowns in the third quarter of the season. Everything led to touchdowns. Obviously the 5.2 ppd is not repeatable. Obviously it’s noise. However, it is a testament to how the Seahawks offense had several moments in the season when they overcame a ton of adversity; even thrived on it.One bad Seattle number stands out, among all the offensive wizardry led by Wilson, the running backs, Tyler Lockett and Brian Schottenheimer. One hideous number. We’re going to get to that number later, when it shows its ugly face again in the final tally.Fourth quarter of the season (3-1 record)Overall points per drive: 2.4PPD with penalty: 2.3PPD with sack: 1.6PPD without either one: 3.2Remarks: This series of games includes the MNF defense-fest in Week 14, the Ethan Pocic holding debacle of Week 15, the glorious triumph over the Chiefs in Week 16, and the Sackapalooza of Week 17. It’s a mess for the offense, statistically, on a game-by-game basis, but as a composite quarter of the season, it doesn’t stand out so much. Everything is pretty much more or less in line.A lot of month-to-month numbers just threw themselves at you. Add it all up, why don’t we.Entire regular season (10-6 record)Overall points per drive: 2.6PPD with penalty: 2.3PPD with sack: 1.0PPD without either one: 3.3Rapid remarks: The hierarchy hinted at earlier manifests itself. The Seahawks offense is going to do better than a field goal when it avoids negative plays. A penalty doesn’t mean the drive is over. But a sack...Conclusion 1: Sacks were the worstSeahawks went from 0.3 to 1.1 to 1.0 to 1.6 en route to an overall 1.0 points per drive when a sack occurred. Short of a turnover, it was the worst thing that could happen to a Seattle possession. Gving up 51 of them, the eighth-most in the NFL, is a crucial part of understanding the offense’s failures. More plays that get the ball out quickly, more (gasp) running plays when the defense expects pass Ugo Amadi Jersey , and more decisiveness from RW would cut down on the drive-killers. And raise points scored, dramatically, more than maybe any other tweak.Easier said than done, though. Pete Carroll enjoys explosives, which demand time in the pocket. You can’t really run that often on 3rd and long, or even 3rd and medium. Wilson magic is going to come attached with costly sacks. They’re inseparable.But ten fewer sacks would mean more 3.3 points per drive... drives, and fewer 1.0-point drives. 41 sacks instead of 51 might mean another win or two, or possibly three, in a season where the Seahawks lost six times by a single possession. Conclusion 2: The poor bookends to the season obscure a larger reality.Which is, the offense was good overall, and great for long stretches. Elite. Comparable to the very best offenses in the league. Reread the remarks about the third part of the season. But when the offense was bad, it was bad and visible.Games 1-2-17-WC would be probably the offense’s worst four-game stretch.Overall points per drive: 1.9PPD with penalty: 2.0PPD with sack: 0.4PPD without either one: 2.8Each of those numbers is worse than the overall annual figures. Seven-tenths of a point off the average overall, and even the clean drives lost half a point. It doesn’t help impressions that in the wild-card game, two crucial drives were ruined, one by a sack and the other by a penalty. The sack came on third down and forced a punt; the penalty halted a drive in the fourth quarter. Those events tend to stick out in a first, and last, impression of a football team.It’s also important to remember that the Seahawks finished sixth in scoring for a reason, and tenth in scoring percentage (41.4) for probably the same reason: they can move the ball, they have the quarterback and the playmakers, they have coaches who’ve been there, they have the ability.Just not always at the right time.Recovering from sack-related setbacks is going to be one way the 2019 Seahawks can improve upon 2018. But with a quarterback who likes to push the envelope with his scrambles, and doesn’t always get the ball out quickly, taking more sacks than average is going to be a part of the Seahawks offense. That’s not changing. Like it or not. With Wilson, you take the drawbacks with the You take the “Nonononononono ahhh you needed to throw that, Russ” with the “NononononononoYESYESOHMYGODYES.” But maybe you try and take the under on 51 sacks again.This isn’t the end of my drive analysis — there is so much more to consider. Namely, did sacks affect the Seahawks more than the average NFL team Mychal Kendricks Jersey , and how much did the decrease in penalties called on Seattle this season impact scoring in a positive way? I’d also like to dive a little deeper into some of the season’s most infamous drives, and the effect of run-run-pass sequences on scoring. (Who knows! It might even be positive. You don’t know until you look.)We’ll get to most of those questions, if not all. Week 1 isn’t exactly going to sneak up on us. Seahawks report cards for each running back in 2018Seahawks report cards for each running back in 2018. How did each of Seattle's backs grade in 2018? Here's our best guesses.Seahawks Senior VP, General Counsel & Government Affairs Ed Goines To Receive Johnnie L. Cochran Jr. Salute To Excellence AwardEd Goines, the Seahawks' senior vice president, general counsel & government affairs, will receive the Johnnie L. Cochran Jr. Salute to Excellence Award from the Fritz Pollard Alliance Foundation on Thursday night in Atlanta.Thursday Round-Up: Seahawks Nominations At 2018 NFL HonorsA preview of the Seattle Seahawks’ ties and nominations for the 2018 NFL Honors.Seahawks seven round mock draft (2019 #1) 芦 Seahawks Draft BlogFilm Breakdown: Seahawks RB Chris Carson Proves He's More Than Just Power - SeahawkMaven.ioEvolving into a complete package out of the backfield, Carson looks like Seattle's next premier workhorse running back.Luke Willson on what it feels like to win (and lose) the Super Bowl - Sportsnet.caWe caught up with Luke Willson, who is in Atlanta for the Super Bowl all week, to talk about what it felt like to win on the biggest stage – and lose in the worst way.Seahawks star Russell Wilson uses Uber ads to prove he can poke fun at painful Super Bowl loss – GeekWireAt least Russell Wilson can joke about it. With the Super Bowl just a couple days away, the sting for many fans is that their team isn’t playing for the NFL’s biggest prize. For Seahawks fans, the fact that the New England Patriots are there again only adds insult to the 2015 injury, when Wilson and鈥ussell Wilson: This season felt like a fresh new start – ProFootballTalkSeahawks quarterback Russell Wilson is feeling great about where his franchise is headed. The Seahawks made it to the playoffs in what some thought would be a rebuilding year, and Wilson said on his visit to the PFT Live set on Radio Row in Atlanta that he feels the veteran players who remain hav...Seattle Seahawks will carry $2.5M of unused cap space over to 2019The Seattle Seahawks will carry over their $2.5 million in unused cap space to the 2019 season.After career-ending injury, ex-Seahawks WR Ricardo Lockette trying to keep current players safeFormer Seahawks receiver Richard Lockette joined Bob, Groz and Tom to talk about how he's using his own experience with a career-ending injury to help a Harvard study on player health.Rodney McLeod agrees to reworked deal with Eagles - NFL.comThe Eagles' first big move of the offseason has nothing to do with their quarterback quandary. The team announced that it reworked Rodney McLeod's contract to keep the 28-year-old defensive back in Philly in 2019.Tom Brady: OL is 'heart and soul' of Patriots' offense - NFL.comTom Brady has not been sacked in the postseason and his 21 sacks taken for the season are tied for the fewest in the NFL. Brady said a lot of that has to do with the Patriots' offensive line and OL coach Dante Scarnecchia.Dont'a Hightower (illness) sits out Patriots practice - NFL.comThree days out from the big game, one of New England's best defenders is under the weather. Pats linebacker Dont'a Hightower did not participate in Wednesday's practice with an illness, per the injury report.Will Patriots return to trick-play well in Super Bowl LIII? - NFL.comThe Patriots have benefited from and burned by trick plays in previous Super Bowls, most recently in last year's loss to the Eagles. Will they be more inclined to use them vs. the Rams? Bill Belichick weighs in.Cowboys unlikely to extend Jason Garrett's contract - NFL.comThe Dallas Cowboys are apparently comfortable employing a lame-duck head coach. NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport reported Thursday that the Cowboys are unlikely to extend Jason Garrett's contract.James Harrison pins blame for drama on Mike Tomlin - NFL.comPlenty of people have weighed in on the Antonio Brown-Steelers drama, but we might have received our best take Thursday. James Harrison pinned the blame for the team's drama on coach Mike Tomlin.Hines Ward on Ben Roethlisberger: “You should know better” – ProFootballTalkWhile most of the the blame for this year's Steelers drama has fallen at the feet of wantaway wide receiver Antonio Brown, a former Steelers great says that quarterback Ben Roethlisberger's role in this should not be undersold.Kyler Murray: I wish I could play both – ProFootballTalkKyler Murray has an agonizing decision to make about giving up one of the two sports he loves. Murray said on his visit to the PFT Live set on Radio Row that he wishes he could do what Deion Sanders and Bo Jackson did, and play both pro football and pro baseball.

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